He has a similar colouring to me. One of the symptoms of stress in fair skinned and Auburn haired people is marks on the bridge of the nose and nearby. Initially the two marks above his eyebrows look like squint marks, but they are a burgundy colour, the slight crack in his voice sounds a bit stressed too.
I'd go for him starting well, but losing sleep under pressure and fading. He looks a bit like Cadel Evans for cracking up. Too much weight of expectation, it needs Jonathan Vaughters to control that.