Author Topic: [HAMR] Visualizing the OYTT  (Read 222104 times)

red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #250 on: 26 February, 2015, 07:53:31 am »
Day 56: Both Kurt and Steve are showing remarkable consistency. While Kurt's daily distances can vary somewhat, he has maintained the WR pace over the last 11 days despite various mechanical difficulties. Steve has been knocking out just under 200 miles per day for most of the month.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #251 on: 27 February, 2015, 06:13:29 am »
Day 57: Another long day for Kurt (223 miles) raises is daily average to date to over 202 miles per day. Steve has a day of rain and wind but manages 193 miles in line with his February schedule.


TGS

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #252 on: 27 February, 2015, 08:19:19 am »
When you look at the full year Sunday appears to be when Steve's line should start to go up. Which in my mind is when the challenge really begins.


Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #253 on: 27 February, 2015, 02:30:16 pm »
When you look at the full year Sunday appears to be when Steve's line should start to go up. Which in my mind is when the challenge really begins.

When you look closely, you you see that there is a change in the slope of Steve's schedule at the end of each month. Does anyone know how many miles per day corresponds to each monthly slope? Maybe Jo will be kind enough to compute that for us!

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #254 on: 27 February, 2015, 02:36:14 pm »

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #255 on: 27 February, 2015, 02:52:21 pm »
Thank you!

So, he's planning to ride 285 miles per day, every day, in July? That makes me feel so small!!

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #256 on: 27 February, 2015, 03:55:34 pm »
Almost: that is for his 'low' schedule.  He's currently tracking above his high one, which doesn't give him much change from 300 miles per day in July.

simonp

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #257 on: 27 February, 2015, 05:54:21 pm »
I think it may prove harder to exceed the summer schedule than the winter one. But what do I know having never cycled more than 250 miles or so in a day and never having ridden 10,000 miles in a year let alone in less than two months.


Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #258 on: 27 February, 2015, 06:27:17 pm »
10,000 miles in a year ?!?

Paff, I haven't done that mileage in three years.
Rust never sleeps

TGS

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #259 on: 27 February, 2015, 07:50:11 pm »
When you look at the full year Sunday appears to be when Steve's line should start to go up. Which in my mind is when the challenge really begins.

When you look closely, you you see that there is a change in the slope of Steve's schedule at the end of each month. Does anyone know how many miles per day corresponds to each monthly slope? Maybe Jo will be kind enough to compute that for us!

The change in daily mileage will we gradual and smooth the curve, I'm sure. My point is that Steve has spent January and February warming up. I have no idea how anybody can do the sort of day's that are planned, but if he can do it .... we ain't seen nothin' yet!

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #260 on: 27 February, 2015, 08:01:02 pm »
My point is that Steve has spent January and February warming up

Of course he did. It was mostly feckin' freezing that's why.
You're only as successful as your last 1200...

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #261 on: 27 February, 2015, 08:22:09 pm »
10 000 miles is a warmup? Steve must be an alien from another planet.

TGS

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #262 on: 27 February, 2015, 08:47:04 pm »
It's a pretty good warm up when July alone has 9000 miles!

red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #263 on: 28 February, 2015, 06:37:41 am »
Day 58: Third consecutive day riding over 220 miles for Kurt moves him even closer to WR pace and less than a day from his 10,000 milestone. Steve heads into Essex with a 195 miler. Nothing logged by William in a frosty Texas for the sixth time this month.


Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #264 on: 28 February, 2015, 10:37:38 pm »
What average mph do we think Steve will achieve over the Summer? I know his schedule is for 270 mile days in July. He's going to have to up the pace to 18-19mph plus to fit this in day by day. Sure this is possible when he's reduced the load on the bike and ridden himself fitter.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #266 on: 01 March, 2015, 06:57:25 am »
Day 59: A comparative 'rest' day for Steve and Kurt today, with around 160 and 180 miles respectively. Steve endures yet more winter weather, but is helped by joining a peloton of Essex riders. Kurt breaks the 10,000 mile barrier five days after Steve. The two riders are now almost exactly 1,000 miles apart after two months' awheel.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #267 on: 01 March, 2015, 07:11:46 am »
Here are the tyreprints of the three riders as of end of February. All three maps are to the same scale - 600km along each side of the square. I perhaps do William a disservice by not including his California rides but they are no more extensive than his Texas ones shown here.



Also available: The full sized version.

red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #268 on: 01 March, 2015, 07:26:33 am »
And their daily movement periods for the first two months (dark = moving; light = stationary)




Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #269 on: 01 March, 2015, 07:33:47 am »
Here are the tyreprints of the three riders as of end of February. All three maps are to the same scale - 600km along each side of the square. I perhaps do William a disservice by not including his California rides but they are no more extensive than his Texas ones shown here.



Also available: The full sized version.

After the end of the year these heatmaps would make great posters if printed up. Motivational poster to hang on your wall.  Or even a tea towel!

red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #270 on: 01 March, 2015, 07:37:48 am »
William's map puts the challenge into perspective. He has ridden 1,680 miles so far this year, which I suspect is further than many of us have managed. Yet in comparison to the other two riders, his is but a smudge on a blank canvas.

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #271 on: 01 March, 2015, 12:51:27 pm »
Day 59: A comparative 'rest' day for Steve and Kurt today, with around 160 and 180 miles respectively.

There may be a problem with Kurts mileage total. His Garmin connect site says 215 while Strava says 178. Alicia seems to think that 215 miles is the correct total and is looking for help to sort it out via Kurts FB page.   

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #272 on: 01 March, 2015, 01:10:40 pm »
Day 59: A comparative 'rest' day for Steve and Kurt today, with around 160 and 180 miles respectively.

There may be a problem with Kurts mileage total. His Garmin connect site says 215 while Strava says 178. Alicia seems to think that 215 miles is the correct total and is looking for help to sort it out via Kurts FB page.

The 215 certainly fits better with what I saw on the tracker page at 01:00 this am.

red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #273 on: 02 March, 2015, 06:23:49 am »
Day 60: As we enter the third month, both riders will need to start increasing their daily mileage. Steve's schedule suggests he will start riding above the 205 miles per day WR pace moving upward on the OYTT chart.


Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #274 on: 02 March, 2015, 04:05:54 pm »
Looks like the UMCA have joined the graph game.

http://ultracycling.com/sections/records/data/hamr/

No mention of Gibbon visits though?