Author Topic: [HAMR] Visualizing the OYTT  (Read 221637 times)

clarion

  • Tyke
Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1225 on: 02 October, 2016, 09:48:43 pm »
Chapeau to both!
Getting there...

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1226 on: 10 November, 2016, 11:24:32 am »
Is there any chance of a graph update now we are another 6 weeks into the challenge?

red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1227 on: 10 November, 2016, 05:42:33 pm »
Yes. Sorry for the long gap - too much other stuff going on.

Day 179 (Amanda Coker) / Day 314 (Kajsa Tylen) / Day 159 (Alicia Searvogel

Amanda having weathered a number of tropical storms and hurricanes continues to make exceptional progress. She has ridden nearly 41000 miles with an average of over 228 mpd. Kajsa had a brief interruption due to the lurgy but has mostly been riding centuries taking her total to over 28,100 miles and an average of 89.6. She is currently 2678 miles ahead of Billie Dovey's pace with 1460 miles required before the end of the year to beat her record (an average 28.6 mpd). Alicia has recovered her mojo after a bit of a rougher patch and is currently averaging 94.4 mpd with a total of nearly 15000 miles.




Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1228 on: 10 November, 2016, 09:07:16 pm »
Thank you! Makes it much clearer :-)

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1229 on: 16 November, 2016, 03:52:38 pm »
As I understand things, the delightful Kajsa is likely to take the Guinness record.

Alicia, if she continues, will get a HaMR age-group record.

Amanda, if she continues at this rate,  will get HaMR age-group and overall record.
<i>Marmite slave</i>

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1230 on: 17 November, 2016, 03:36:00 pm »

Amanda, if she continues at this rate,  will get HaMR age-group and overall record.

If and when Amanda's record(s) become certified by the UMCA, Guinness will do the same. She has this in writing.

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1231 on: 20 January, 2017, 10:30:09 am »
Hi Jo,

If you're able to do a graph update at some point with Kajsa's completed record and where Amanda is up to, I'd be interested to have a look! :)

Thanks! :)

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1232 on: 30 March, 2017, 12:16:47 pm »
Anyone know of any up to date visualisation of Amanda and Steve's progress?

Thanks!

IJL

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1233 on: 30 March, 2017, 12:51:46 pm »
I have no graphs but after yesterdays ride TG had done 5620.1 and after the same number of days AC had done 5620.2.

ianrauk

  • Tattooed Beat Messiah
Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1234 on: 30 March, 2017, 01:04:57 pm »
Anyone know of any up to date visualisation of Amanda and Steve's progress?

Thanks!

There's a good attempt over at at the other place
https://www.cyclechat.net/threads/235-miles-a-day-for-a-year-amanda-coker-challenge.214868/page-8#post-4741172

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1235 on: 07 June, 2017, 01:00:12 pm »
I collected Steve's Strava-data from his attempts for a comparative overwiew:

After 95 days (June 6th) the daily average of Steve's 3rd attempt is 222 miles/ day. This puts him about 1580 miles above the "Godwin-line" (i.e. 205,7 miles/ day). Kurt Searvogel rode very similar daily averages in his best HAMR-months 2015 (May till July, November, December).

With daily averages between 220 (April 2017) and 225 miles (March 2017) Steve is cycling a bit longer and a bit faster than during his best months in 2015 (June and September 2015), when he rode around 215 miles/ day. Steve's best month ever so far is his HMMR-attempt in September 2016 when he reached 236 miles/ day, thanks to a slightly higher average speed.

While Steve's average daily speeds 2017 show considerable variation, monthly data leads to pretty homogeneous values of about 16 miles/ hour. The monthly average daily riding time is pretty stable, too, overall average is 13,9 hours/ day.

My impression:
Steve is in better shape than 2015 and he is on a good way to beat Tommy Godwin's 1939-mileage (75075, 205,7 miles/ day) and Kurt Searvogel's 2015 (76076, 208,4 miles/ day). But Kurt's setbacks 2015 and Steve's lower winter miles show that a comfortable lead can quickly vanish. I hope that Steve's anomalous daily routines with several sleepless nights do not overstretch his immune system.

Amanda Coker's 20106/2017-record of 86573 miles (237,2 miles/ day) is out of Steve's reach.

Month   hours/ day   miles/ h   miles/ day         
Jun 15      13,3      16,1      215,0
Sep 15      13,8      15,5      214,2
Sep 16      14,0      16,8      235,9
Mrz 17      14,2      15,9      224,7
Apr 17      13,6      16,1      219,7
Mai 17      13,8      16,2      222,7
Jun 17      14,2      15,6      222,4






Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1236 on: 20 September, 2017, 02:20:18 pm »
I collected Steve's Strava-data from his attempts for a comparative overwiew:

An update of my previous post:

200 days are over (=September 19th) and Steve's Strava-Data are as follows:

Month   hours/ day   miles/ h   miles/ day         
Mrz 17      14.2      15.9      224.7
Apr 17      13.6      16.1      219.7
Mai 17      13.8      16.2      222.7
Jun 17      13.5      16.0      216.1
Jul 17       13.4      15.9      213.0
Aug 17      12.2      16.1      197.4
Sep 17      11.3      15.0      170.6
Overall      13.2      16.0      211.2

This means: He is
+1100 miles above the Godwin-line
+ 548 miles above the Searvogel-line
- 5204 miles below the Coker-line

Daily averages required to beat
Godwin      199 miles/ day
Searvogel   205 miles/ day
Coker      269 miles/ day

September contains two days without riding (discarding those two days Steve's September Stats are 191 miles/ day at an average speed of 15.0 miles/ hour).



SoreTween

  • Most of me survived the Pennine Bridleway.
Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1237 on: 01 October, 2017, 07:49:30 pm »
Thanks swampthing  :thumbsup:
2023 targets: Survive. Maybe.
There is only one infinite resource in this universe; human stupidity.

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1238 on: 09 November, 2017, 10:53:43 am »
I collected Steve's Strava-data from his attempts for a comparative overwiew:

Update after 250 days (= Novemer 9th):

         hours/ day   miles/ hour   miles/ day
Mrz 17      14.2      15.9         224.7
Apr 17      13.6      16.1         219.7
Mai 17      13.8      16.2         222.7
Jun 17      13.5      16.0         216.1
Jul 17      13.4      15.9         213.0
Aug 17      12.2      16.1         197.4
Sep 17      11.8      15.4         181.9
Okt 17      12.1      16.2         196.1
Nov 17      12.4      16.5         204.9
Overall      13.0      16.0         208.7


This means: He is
+ 744 miles above the Godwin-line
+ 58 miles above the Searvogel-line
- 7132 miles below the Coker-line

Daily averages required to beat
Godwin             199 miles/ day
Searvogel         208 miles/ day
Coker                299 miles/ day


Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1239 on: 09 November, 2017, 12:43:20 pm »
Much appreciated, thankyou lots!

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1240 on: 10 November, 2017, 08:18:29 am »
Good stuff - very clear. Thanks


Tapatalk puts this signature here, not me!
Too many angry people - breathe & relax.

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1241 on: 10 November, 2017, 12:25:37 pm »
This is a graph wot I made:


The Y axis is miles/day. Red is Steve's overall average, blue is a moving average of the previous 14 days. The other three are Steve's target miles/day to beat those other records.

That gap between the red and green lines amounts to just 62 miles over the remainder of the attempt!

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1242 on: 28 December, 2017, 11:01:31 pm »
I collected Steve's Strava-data from his attempts for a comparative overwiew:

Update after 300 days (= December 28th):

Steve has ridden 61,653 miles in 300 days, a daily average of 205.5 miles. After several icy days and crashes in the second half of December, Day #300 is the first day when his mileage dropped below the Godwin-line (i. e. an average of 205.7 miles/ day).

         hours/ day   miles/ hour   miles/ day
Mrz 17      14.2      15.9         224.7
Apr 17      13.6      16.1         219.7
Mai 17      13.8      16.2         222.7
Jun 17      13.5      16.0         216.1
Jul 17       13.4      15.9         213.0
Aug 17      12.2      16.1         197.4
Sep 17      11.8      15.4         181.9
Okt 17      12.1      16.2         196.1
Nov 17      12.6      16.0         202.1
Dec 17      12.0      15.1         180.9
Overall      12.9      15.9         205.5


This means: He is
- 53 miles below the Godwin-line
- 875 miles below the Searvogel-line
- 9503 miles below the Coker-line

Daily averages required to beat
Godwin              206 miles/ day
Searvogel          222 miles/ day
Coker                383 miles/ day


Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1243 on: 02 February, 2018, 11:00:31 am »
I collected Steve's Strava-data from his attempts for a comparative overwiew:

Update after 335 days (= February 1st), 30 days to go:

Steve has ridden 68,219 miles in 335 days, a daily average of 203.6 miles.

         hours/ day   miles/ hour   miles/ day
Mar 17      14.2      15.9         224.7
Apr 17      13.6      16.1         219.7
May 17     13.8      16.2         222.7
Jun 17      13.5      16.0         216.1
Jul 17       13.4      15.9         213.0
Aug 17     12.2      16.1         197.4
Sep 17      11.8      15.4         181.9
Okt 17      12.1      16.2         196.1
Nov 17      12.6      16.0         202.1
Dec 17      12.0      15.0         180.0
Jan 18      13.0      14.4         187.2
Overall      12.9      15.8         203.6

This puts him
- 676 miles below the Godwin-line
- 1604 miles below the Searvogel-line
- 11238 miles below the Coker-line

Daily averages required to beat
Godwin              228 miles/ day
Searvogel          262 miles/ day
Coker                612 miles/ day

It is interesting to see how Steve’s description on facebook deviates from these recordings:

„- … My year record never went to plan. I started very well, riding 95 hours a week
-  … it was that in the 2nd month, […], my mileage was dropping
- … By the 3rd month I reduced my hours of riding to about 85 a week
- … thinking my speed would continue to increase“

Neither his claimed dropping of mileage in the 2nd month nor his reduction of hours in the 3rd month can be seen in the data. The first 4 to 5 months all produced pretty equally well results. Average speed was very and riding time pretty stable. At the end of July he was more than 2000 miles above the Godwin-line and 1600 miles ahead of Searvogel. After these five good months his mileage started dropping below the Godwin-line.


Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1244 on: 02 February, 2018, 02:40:05 pm »
Excellent stuff, Swampy!  Really appreciate these summaries that put all the various numbers into clear perspective.
The sound of one pannier flapping

zigzag

  • unfuckwithable
Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1245 on: 02 February, 2018, 03:45:41 pm »
Steve will have clocked higher mileage in three years than anyone else before, mind boggling! (has anyone got the sums, provided he reaches Godwin's target next month?)

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1246 on: 02 February, 2018, 04:42:05 pm »
that could be a new record category, and may never be challenged!

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #1247 on: 02 February, 2018, 05:15:53 pm »
That question was asked at the end of his first three years.

Quote
@steve_abraham74
 9h9 hours ago

According to @Strava I have ridden 156,415 miles since I began #HAMR on 1st Jan 2015 with 1st (2) attempt(s) training and my 2017/18 attempt.
An average of 52,138 a year, not including today's ride.

So an average of 1,000 miles + per week, for three years.