Author Topic: Long range weather forecast  (Read 4890 times)

Seineseeker

  • Biting the cherry of existential delight
    • The Art of Pleisure
Long range weather forecast
« on: 02 April, 2008, 08:12:02 am »
I have it on authority (not that good, from someone who has bought a long range weather forecast) that May will be very hot, June above average warm, and July and August nothing special. So plan your May rides!

clarion

  • Tyke
Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #1 on: 02 April, 2008, 08:27:38 am »
I have it on authority (not that good, from someone who has bought a long range weather forecast) that May will be very hot, June above average warm, and July and August nothing special. So plan your May rides!

I'm just hoping for some sunshine this weekend when I'm camping  :)
Getting there...

TheLurker

  • Goes well with magnolia.
Τα πιο όμορφα ταξίδια γίνονται με τις δικές μας δυνάμεις - Φίλοι του Ποδήλατου

Si

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #3 on: 02 April, 2008, 12:02:39 pm »
I have it on authority (not that good, from someone who has bought a long range weather forecast) that May will be very hot, June above average warm, and July and August nothing special. So plan your May rides!

I'm just hoping for some sunshine this weekend when I'm camping  :)

Sleet/snow in Stafford on Sunday morning.

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #4 on: 02 April, 2008, 12:11:01 pm »
I don't want to be still doing the Elenith at coming up to 2am Sunday morning.
"Yes please" said Squirrel "biscuits are our favourite things."

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #5 on: 02 April, 2008, 12:13:05 pm »
In my opinion forecasts for more than 6 hours ahead are pretty much UTTERLY useless.
Your Royal Charles are belong to us.

tiermat

  • According to Jane, I'm a Unisex SpaceAdmin
Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #6 on: 02 April, 2008, 12:21:11 pm »
In my opinion forecasts for more than 6 hours ahead are pretty much UTTERLY useless.

I remember hearing an interview with a guy from the Met Office on t'wireless and his point was that the further away you get from now, the accuracy of weather forecasts get exponentially less and less accurate.  This gets to a point whereby, after 36 hours or so there is a bigger chance of it being wrong than it has being right.

He also stated that if you assume that tomorrow's weather will be the same as today's you will be right 80% of the time!!!
I feel like Captain Kirk, on a brand new planet every day, a little like King Kong on top of the Empire State

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #7 on: 02 April, 2008, 12:25:50 pm »
In my opinion forecasts for more than 6 hours ahead are pretty much UTTERLY useless.

Indeed.

My forecast for the coming UK summer is: Not a shite as last year.

Surely I can't be wrong!!
Those wonderful norks are never far from my thoughts, oh yeah!

Martin

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #8 on: 02 April, 2008, 12:26:20 pm »
I have it on authority (not that good, from someone who has bought a long range weather forecast) that May will be very hot, June above average warm, and July and August nothing special. So plan your May rides!

what about June in La Belle France?

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #9 on: 02 April, 2008, 12:29:37 pm »
;)

I spend a lot of time comparing weather forecasts and the reality, because they affect my working life so much.
Your Royal Charles are belong to us.

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #10 on: 02 April, 2008, 12:35:15 pm »
I have it on authority (not that good, from someone who has bought a long range weather forecast) that May will be very hot, June above average warm, and July and August nothing special. So plan your May rides!

I'm just hoping for some sunshine this weekend when I'm camping  :)

Hope it's not near Aylesbury - snow showers forecast for Sunday....
We are making a New World (Paul Nash, 1918)

Seineseeker

  • Biting the cherry of existential delight
    • The Art of Pleisure
Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #11 on: 02 April, 2008, 12:57:22 pm »
I have it on authority (not that good, from someone who has bought a long range weather forecast) that May will be very hot, June above average warm, and July and August nothing special. So plan your May rides!

what about June in La Belle France?

Well actually it was a long range forecast for France. So June here should be good.

Martin

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #12 on: 02 April, 2008, 02:18:26 pm »
I have it on authority (not that good, from someone who has bought a long range weather forecast) that May will be very hot, June above average warm, and July and August nothing special. So plan your May rides!

what about June in La Belle France?

Well actually it was a long range forecast for France. So June here should be good.

I thought it sounded a bit optimistic for the UK...

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #13 on: 04 April, 2008, 01:28:52 pm »
IME long-range forecasts seem to do OK on the general tenor of things, but not for any particular day. 

It was, for example, clear from some time ahead that both Glastonbury & Glade were going to be unpleasant last year, & right enough it tipped it down for both :(

So I have my thumbs v firmly crossed for decent weather June/July.  Pleasant in May for the BCM would be nice, as well :)

Chris S

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #14 on: 04 April, 2008, 02:01:24 pm »
I see the UKMO has released the Summer 2008 forecast.

In a nutshell, it'll rain sometimes but probably not as much as last summer, and it'll probably be a little warmer than the long-term average, but with some cooler spells.

F*ck Me - isn't it amazing what you can do with £300m worth of computer hardware  ::-).

Mr Larrington

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Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #15 on: 04 April, 2008, 03:23:43 pm »
I see the UKMO has released the Summer 2008 forecast.

In a nutshell, it'll rain sometimes but probably not as much as last summer, and it'll probably be a little warmer than the long-term average, but with some cooler spells.

F*ck Me - isn't it amazing what you can do with £300m worth of computer hardware  ::-).

Partly cloudy, with a chance of rain.
External Transparent Wall Inspection Operative & Mayor of Mortagne-au-Perche
Satisfying the Bloodlust of the Masses in Peacetime

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #16 on: 04 April, 2008, 04:08:35 pm »
Stop Press!

Long Range Forecast for today until the olympics in 2012.

"Changeable"

border-rider

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #17 on: 04 April, 2008, 04:12:07 pm »
Is it going to be settled after that then ?

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #18 on: 04 April, 2008, 04:14:35 pm »
Ask me nearer the time.

Chris S

Re: Long range weather forecast
« Reply #19 on: 04 April, 2008, 04:23:54 pm »
Most forecasts are correct if you say "broadly the same as yesterday".