Author Topic: [HAMR] Visualizing the OYTT  (Read 221947 times)

red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #750 on: 05 October, 2015, 06:22:08 am »
Day 277 / 58: Kurt takes a rest day after accumulated fatigue, riding 53 miles around Little Rock. This keeps him around 550 miles above WR pace, so leaves him with a couple more days in the bank should he need to rest again before the end of the challenge. But again it demonstrates just what a perilous position all three riders are in – this one day of riding a quarter of his normal distance undoes all the gains made over the last month. Steve does another 218 miles, following familiar roads through the flatlands of eastern England and putting him within 100 miles of WR pace. Miles rides 187 miles of familiar bayside roads.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #751 on: 06 October, 2015, 06:45:14 am »
Day 278 / 59: In a partial reverse of the previous day, Kurt is back up to longer rides with 221 miles of Little Rock roads while Steve, battling wet autumnal weather, manages a shorter 172 miles. This undoes Steve's gains made over the last week putting him around 130 miles behind WR pace. Miles shows consistency with another 194 miles of the bay.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #752 on: 07 October, 2015, 06:26:01 am »
Day 279 / 60: A steady day for Kurt sees him riding his local roads for 214 miles, leaving him around 580 miles in front of WR pace and passing 90,000km. Steve has a long wet autumnal day riding 232 miles from Ipswich to York. This puts him around 105 miles behind WR pace, undoing the loss of the previous day's shorter ride. For a bit of variety Miles rides the roads north of Melbourne for 100 miles.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #753 on: 07 October, 2015, 06:28:13 am »
Movement charts for Steve, Kurt and Miles over the last five weeks:




red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #754 on: 07 October, 2015, 10:01:12 pm »
How consistent have the OYTT challengers been day-by-day? Below are the proportions of daily ride distances placed in 20km bands (0-20km, 20-40km, 40-60km etc.) for Tommy, Steve, Kurt and Miles. For a change I've used kilometres rather than miles, but have highlighted all the distance bands above Tommy Godwin's average record pace (331km or 206 miles).






Kurt's strategy of consistently riding a little above WR pace for as many days as possible is clearly evident. As is Steve's injury and recovery period and subsequent climb back towards WR pace. Miles stands out as having a much more variable pattern of daily distances – something he's going to have to improve upon if he stands any chance of nearing the record.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #755 on: 08 October, 2015, 06:48:24 am »
Day 280 / 61: 221 steady Little Rock miles from Kurt sees him approaching 600 miles ahead of WR pace. Steve rides back home from York with a late finish and 228 miles for the day. This puts him around 85 miles behind WR pace and now ahead of Kurt's like-for-like distance. Another short day for Miles as he rides for 80 miles north of Melbourne.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #756 on: 09 October, 2015, 06:18:42 am »
Day 281 / 62: More of the same from Kurt – 218 fast miles ridden from Little Rock. Steve rides a fenland loop for 209 miles, moving him steadily towards that WR pace. He has now been moving on his bike for exactly 50% of every hour of 2015, including his time when recovering after his broken ankle. Another comparatively short day from Miles, covering 126 miles of the bay.


Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #757 on: 09 October, 2015, 12:53:59 pm »
He has now been moving on his bike for exactly 50% of every hour of 2015, including his time when recovering after his broken ankle

yet another astonishing fact, thanks Jo!

simonp

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #758 on: 09 October, 2015, 01:00:01 pm »
Looking at the graphs, if Steve can continue Godwin pace from today for the remainder of 2015 it seems that he'll only be beaten by Godwin and Tarzan, despite the broken ankle.


Graeme

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Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #759 on: 09 October, 2015, 05:59:56 pm »
10 months this has been my go-to news feed. Great endurance Jo! Thank you.

red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #760 on: 10 October, 2015, 07:25:54 am »
Day 282 / 63: Familiar roads for all three riders. Kurt has a semi-recovery day with 122 miles covered at a slightly slower pace (by Kurt standards). Nevertheless he continues with a 500 mile buffer over the record pace and only 13 weeks to go. Steve rides for 211 miles in good autumn weather. Rebooted October Steve is now 1000 miles ahead of March Steve and 75 behind WR pace. Miles rides 118 miles – a steady accumulation – but his overall daily average is taking him further and further away from the pace he requires to have a realistic chance of the record. He now has to make up approximately 8,400 miles on top of a 206 mpd average to take the record from Tommy (and probably more if Kurt raises it further).


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #761 on: 11 October, 2015, 08:07:36 am »
Day 283 / 64: Kurt is back on form with a 220 mile local ride including joining the start of Wounded Warrior event and some much needed company on the road. Steve knocks out another eastward loop for 213 miles on his refurbished bike taking him to around 67 miles shy of WR pace. Miles does more bay riding for another 178 miles towards his total.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #762 on: 12 October, 2015, 06:35:03 am »
Day 284 / 65: Kurt does a couple of longer loops to the south of Little Rock before finishing on his usual river trail for a day's total of 227 miles. Steve loops 209 miles east via Thetford Forest inching him closer to that WR line. Miles continues with 177 miles of repeats of the northern section of the bay road.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #763 on: 13 October, 2015, 06:46:30 am »
Day 285 / 66: After a van fuelling mixup, Kurt is left without motorised support, but nevertheless completes 215 miles of local riding. Steve tries an out and back route through Essex for 207 miles. Miles does a single bay trip for 75 miles.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #764 on: 14 October, 2015, 06:35:58 am »
Day 286 / 67: Kurt has a slightly slower start, but is soon buoyed up by some company on the road to complete 209 miles by early evening. Steve also manages 209 miles on a wide loop of Cambridge at a slightly faster pace than recent days. He is within 3 days of reaching 50000 miles in 2015. Miles does three there-and-back bay trips for 188 miles. On this day in 1939, Tommy passed the 60,000 milestone.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #765 on: 15 October, 2015, 06:31:37 am »
Day 287 / 68: Kurt keeps it local for 220 miles lifting him to around 580 miles above WR pace. As the weather in the UK continues to cool, Steve contends with a northerly wind across the fens for 215 miles. He is now about 50 miles behind Tommy's average. Miles puts in a long day for 232 miles of Port Phillip Bay.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #766 on: 16 October, 2015, 08:05:30 am »
Day 288 / 69: Kurt follows a now regular pattern of riding out east in the early morning then being joined by others on the road as he rides back to Little Rock. All in for 216 miles. Steve has a late start but virtually no stopping time as he rides out to Thetford Forest before returning home for a total of 206 miles. He's now a day away from 50,000 miles in 2015. Miles rides north of Melbourne for 189 miles after being knocked off his bike yesterday on his usual bay roads (thankfully no injuries reported).


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #767 on: 17 October, 2015, 05:33:07 am »
Day 289 / 70: Kurt has a steady day and fast evening on his usual roads riding one Godwin to keep him around 600 miles above WR pace. Steve passes 50,000 miles on a day of biting NE winds across the fens. He continues his recent style of steady pace with little or no stopping, allowing him to complete 217 miles in 14h30m. Miles has a fourth consecutive day of 300km+ distances, riding the bay for 211 miles.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #768 on: 18 October, 2015, 08:19:28 am »
Day 290 / 71: Another 223 miles in the bank for Kurt has he rides around his usual roads with company from some local riders. Steve has a tough 199 mile day via Thetford Forest that is noticeably slower than usual, no doubt in part due to developing leg pain and a rear flat. Miles has a second day of around 212 miles moving him marginally towards record pace, but still with around an 8,500 mile deficit to make up over the next eight months.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #769 on: 19 October, 2015, 06:45:31 am »
Day 291 / 72:   209 miles for Kurt with plenty of company on the road from various teams of local riders. Steve continues to have some leg pain and a consequent slow and long day via Ely for 182 miles. This leaves him around 64 miles from the WR pace. Miles keeps it shorter on a couple of bay trips with a total of 93 miles.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #770 on: 20 October, 2015, 06:50:55 am »
Day 292 / 73: Congratulations to Kurt and Alicia.


red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #771 on: 21 October, 2015, 06:52:41 am »
Day 293 / 74: A cycling honeymoon for Kurt and Alicia follow a familiar pattern of local roads with a 'drafternoon' accompanied by local riders for a day's total of 210 miles. Steve, still nursing an injured leg, has a fourth consecutive day of slightly shorter distances, today of 190 miles. This leaves him around 88 miles behind WR pace. Miles has a day away from the bay riding from the north for 167 miles.


Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #772 on: 21 October, 2015, 08:46:12 am »
JO  thanks for all your graphs etc.  88 miles behind is not good is it.  Going to turn colder later this week. The changing of the clocks won't effect him as he would start an hour earlier if he wished to
 ???

red marley

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #773 on: 21 October, 2015, 08:57:38 am »
88 behind is not in itself a problem with over nine months to go. After all, he is in the position he was about two weeks ago and is ahead of all previous attempts after their first 74 days. It's worth looking at the full year picture on the OYTT visualization page to keep it in perspective.

The risk for all challengers is that it doesn't take much to drop back a long way in a short space of time, so it's nice to have a bit of a buffer. Even Kurt, who has done exceptionally well with a buffer of 590 miles, is still only three non-cycling days away from failing to take the record.

hillbilly

Re: Visualizing the OYTT
« Reply #774 on: 21 October, 2015, 08:57:58 am »
Stop worrying, Arry-R  :)