Well, yes, that's a possibility, but I have to say that, after the Tour de France, I thought Bradley Wiggins would be a shoo-in.
With Olympic success, that's no longer certain, and I could see anyone winning it from:
Weir
Storey
Simmonds
Ennis
Gymnast chaps
Ainslie
Wiggins
Hoy
Murray
etc etc.
Probably the strongest field ever.