(yes you did - I read your first version; a disturbance in the force ... )
Now, if we ignored history before Dec 29th, things would be looking OK right now. He's done a poor-ish day into some headwind to Basingstoke; but now he's set off a lot earlier than recent days, with a lot of land to his North, and the strongest Southerlies you could hope for forecast all day. And he's averaging 25+kph.
Could be a massive day. It'd be fun to see him finish the year with 500 miles directly North, as he doesnt need to ride
anywhere on Jan 1st