I'm not buying all this tactical loss nonsense.
Me neither. Especially when they have no idea yet who they'll face in the next round.
But they would know exactly who they'd face 2 hours before their game kicked off. (Only half of the groups get the benefit of this, so it's not a level playing field to begin with.)
I'm not buying all this tactical loss nonsense.
Professional sportsmen and women have it built into them from an early age to want to win every time they take to the field.
If you told a racing driver to back off whilst on form he is likely to do something stupid.
F1 drivers used to have to submit to team orders and slow down to let their team mate overtake them just before the line. It happens in many other sports.
It's always going to be a problem in something that isn't a straight knockout tournament.
The aim is to win the world cup. To do so you have to win against good teams, or they wouldn't be best in the world. The aim is not to get as far as possible and say well done chaps when they get off the plane.
If we lose (and I hope we don't) to Brazil or any other top team in the quarter final or the final it makes no difference, we didn't win the world cup.
Sure, but there is such a thing as an easier side of the draw. (Go back to Greece winning Euro 2004 for an example. France, Czech Republic and Denmark was considered 'easier' than England, Sweden and Netherlands. Greece lost their last group game to finish second although I'm not claiming they did this on purpose, it would have been risk as if Spain and Portugal had drawn then Greece would have been out.)
As it stood in Russia the rankings were:-
* Win the group and beat Japan (44) and you play Brazil (2) or Mexico (16), most likely Brazil (2). Beat them and you play France (7)/Uruguay (17)/Argentina (4) or Portugal (3) in the Semi.
* Come 2nd and you have to beat Colombia (13), then you play Sweden (25) or Switzerland (11). Beat them and you play Spain (8), Russia (65), Croatia (18) or Denmark (19) in that Semi.
The fairest thing would be a draw for the two places in the first knockout round rather than relying on group position (i.e. a draw decides whether England or Belgium go through as G1 or G2 or vice versa regardless of who finishes top or second). These draws would be conducted straight after the final group game of each group so there's no real difference for fans trying to book travel (since they wouldn't know which half of the draw they are in until this point anyway). But it takes away any tactical nonsense because there's no way to know who you'd end up playing until after your group games had been completed.
(A team knowing that is is guaranteed to qualify top of the group after just two games is very rare, they have to win both of their games and both other games have to be draws so that no other team can catch them with the one remaining game. Doesn't happen that often.)