Some interesting data has now been published evaluating the e-scooter trials.
Looks like the casualty rate is 3 x that of riding a bike.
Presumably the cycling stats aren't equivalent though - an awful lot of cycling miles are clocked up by experienced - if not actually sensible - cyclists on country roads
[1] for the sake of riding a bike. I expect it would be more comparable if you restricted the cycling data to urban cyclists under the age of 35.
And as expected, most of the users of e-scooters (70%) have switched from walking, cycling or using public transport. So most people won't be giving up their car and public health will carry on getting worse due to a lack of exercise.
Interesting to see the shift in uses as the novelty factor wears off.
I hadn't really considered that people would use e-scooters in preference to walking because of perceived social safety. Which is ironic, given that I'm a strong proponent of the advantages of cycling over public transport for exactly that reason.
Replacing walking isn't inherently a bad thing when it's done by someone with a mobility impairment, but I do think the inherent nature of scooters as a form short-range
[2] transport means they're going to replace urban walking rather than longer mixed-mode or car journeys. If you've got a >5 mile commute, or want to carry stuff an ebike looks like a more attractive option.
I'd also note that the hire aspect might be skewing the cycling shift figures: The one time I used a Voi scooter for transport (rather than trying out a scooter) was because I specifically didn't want to leave my bike locked up in town overnight. The report also mentions people using scooters instead of cycling when their cycle was out of action, and I know a local cyclist whose puncture repair technique seems to involve locking up the bike and continuing by scooter (presumably taking the wheel, and returning having repaired the puncture the next day).
What it does show is that there's an appetite for personal transport where public transport is impractical. Which we knew already.
[1] I've encountered an e-scooter rider on a country road exactly once, and it took me a minute to realise it wasn't an alien spacecraft approaching silently at speed from behind.
[2] How far would a reasonable person want to ride one? They're not exactly a triumph of ergonomics.